November 2024 Impact Report
How common sense won
We started GrowSF with a singular focus: win a commonsense majority on the Board of Supervisors. The November 2024 election was our first shot at winning that majority, and we’re proud to say we did it!
San Francisco now has a Board of Supervisors, Mayor, and Board of Education that will work together for the common good.
Our strategy for November 2024 was the same as it’s always been: focus on policy, take the concerns of voters seriously, and put out the best, most deeply researched voter guide. For Mayor, we encouraged voters to rank Daniel Lurie, London Breed, and Mark Farrell. We compared the candidates along several metrics: Independence, Building More Homes, Public Safety, Addiction & Fentanyl Dealing, Homelessness, Public Transit & Bikes, and Small Business.
For Supervisor, we endorsed the supervisor candidates with the right policy plans. In District 5, we endorsed Bilal Mahmood for his focus on ending the fentanyl markets and building more homes. In District 3, Danny Sauter had sensible plans for installing more trash cans, helping small businesses by rolling back red tape, and building more homes.
A New Majority
We're excited to announce that San Francisco has a trifecta of commonsense leaders: Mayor Lurie, a 6-to-5 majority on the Board of Supervisors, and a 5-to-2 majority on the Board of Education. From housing, to public safety, to great public schools, these leaders will work together to make San Francisco a better place for all of us.
When we started GrowSF four years ago, we had a Mayor aligned with GrowSF's positions, but Mayor Breed was held back by an oppositional board, a DA who didn't prosecute crime, and a school board more focused on renaming schools than on student outcomes. Today's majority is the culmination of four years of hard work and dedication by our team, our supporters, volunteers, and most importantly voters.
Mayor
Reformer Democrat Daniel Lurie won, and Aaron Peskin lost decisively.
Daniel Lurie
Elected 2024
Board of Supervisors
We've obtained a 6-to-5 majority of commonsense leaders.
Catherine Stefani
Supervisor, District 2
Elected 2022
Danny Sauter
Supervisor, District 3
Elected 2024
Joel Engardio
Supervisor, District 4
Elected 2022
Bilal Mahmood
Supervisor, District 5
Elected 2024
Matt Dorsey
Supervisor, District 6
Elected 2022
Rafael Mandelman
Supervisor, District 8
Elected 2022
Board of Education
We've obtained a 5-to-2 majority of commonsense leaders.
Jaime Huling
Elected 2024
Parag Gupta
Elected 2024
Supryia Ray
Elected 2024
Phil Kim
Appointed 2024
Lisa Weissman-Ward
Elected 2022
Metrics
GrowSF reached every voter in San Francisco. From postal mail, to digital ads, to TV and YouTube, we made sure that every voter knew where we stood. 181,000 voters came to our website, which comprises just over 44% of all voters in this election. When combined with our postal mail and video outreach, we think every voter was aware of GrowSF and our endorsed candidates.
And we did all of this at a fraction of what the other guys spend.
Channel | Reach |
---|---|
Website voter guide | 384k impressions across 181k uniques |
Direct mail | 2-5 pieces to 514k+ voters |
YouTube ads | 9.68M impressions |
Connected TV ads | 1.54M impressions |
Meta ads | 21.3M impressions |
How We Did It
We run a rigorous process to identify the best candidates: each candidate for every office gets a long questionnaire that asks the important questions. We look for candidates who prioritize good government, building more housing, creating great public schools, ensuring public safety, and fostering growth. And they must share our San Francisco values.
A core belief of GrowSF is that voters just want high quality information on what they're voting for. Instead of relying on expensive political consultants, we do all our research in house. In total, we produced hundreds of pages of candidate interviews, financial analyses, and no-frills policy analysis to help voters make informed decisions.
We got information in front of as many people as possible, both organically and through ads, across all six supervisorial districts. While we did not win every district, we succeeded in delivering the most well-researched voter guide in the City.
500k+
voters reached through direct mail
181k
unique visitors to our online voter guide
14 variants
English and Chinese, 6 districts, 1 citywide
Print Creative
This year’s volume of political mail was unprecedented. Mailboxes were stuffed with flyers for ballot measures and candidates. We knew that voters would be overwhelmed with printed ads, and it is nearly impossible to stand out while not annoying voters. So instead of creating glossy mailers that go straight from the mailbox to the recycling bin, we focused on no-frills high information mail. And based on our past research, we know our mail gets opened.
We sent our voter guide to every voter in San Francisco twice, and did so in a plain envelope. While we did send a single glossy flyer, but it focused on a single issue so that it would be clear to voters what our candidate stood for.
12 billboards
Districts 1 and 5
16 issues
Policy positions across multiple candidates
28 variants
English and Chinese, multiple pieces
Digital Creative
Voters spend a lot of time online: searching for information on candidates, deciding how to vote for propositions, and finding out who their friends vote for. What has also become clear is that voters are saturated with online content about who to vote for.
We focused on providing voters with new and useful information about several under-the-radar races, and which candidates met their preferences. Additionally, we ran some of the earliest online campaigns in San Francisco with the intention of informing voters before the deluge began.
We created all of our Meta ads in house and had 21.3 million impressions across hundreds of creative variants. We produced 23 candidate videos for our Youtube ads, which totaled 9.68 million impressions.
21.3 million
impressions of our Meta ads
9.68 million
impressions of our video ads
Citywide ads
Our citywide video ads sought to do one thing: tell voters that GrowSF makes the ballot easy to understand, and that we're a helpful resource.
District 3 ads
For Danny Sauter in District 3, we focused on quality of life improvements like more trash cans, public safety, and helping small businesses.
District 5 ads
For Bilal Mahmood in District 5, we drew a distinction between the incumbents and Mahmood on housing and drug policy. For example, the incumbent blocked thousands of new homes as Supervisor, while Mahmood pledges to help homebuilders build homes. On drugs, we contrasted the incumbent's do-nothing policy for fentanyl dealing and overdoses, and Mahmood's focus on solving these issues. Finally, we highlighted the fact that the Tenderloin, which is the center of the City's drug overdose crisis, is home to the highest density of children in the entire city.
Lessons Learned
Entrenched political interests mobilized roughly $2M to win districts 1 and 11, dwarfing the sums GrowSF spent supporting Marjan Philhour and Michael Lai. They spent $1.2M in D1 versus our $100k, and $700k vs our $100k in D11. The speed and scale at which they can mobilize money against reformer Democrats surprised us.
What really set us apart was our ability to do almost everything in house. We could go from an idea to a video launch on TV in just a couple hours. We did not farm our work out to expensive political consultants. We ran data-driven campaigns focused on informing as many voters as possible. Our speed and excellence on video is confirmed by the sheer number of people who say they saw our video ads in every Supervisor district.
What’s Next
Now that we have a commonsense majority on the Board of Supervisors, the hard part begins. We will work alongside our allies inside and outside of City Hall to support positive change in San Francisco. We will continue to push for legislation that people want, and work toward structural reforms to City government that empower the Mayor to actively manage departments while making Supervisors more responsive to their constituents.
Full Results
Mayor
GrowSF endorsed Daniel Lurie, London Breed, and Mark Farrell for Mayor, and encouraged voters to rank all three in the order that made sense for them. We're thrilled that Daniel Lurie won, and that Aaron Peskin lost decisively.
Daniel Lurie
Elected
Aaron Peskin
Lost
Board of Supervisors
We achieved our goal of winning two seats on the Board of Supervisors!
We now have a majority of commonsense Supervisors on the Board of Supervisors.
Marjan Philhour
Supervisor, District 1
Lost
48%
Danny Sauter
Supervisor, District 3
Elected
55%
Bilal Mahmood
Supervisor, District 5
Elected
52%
Matt Boschetto
Supervisor, District 7
Lost
47%
Trevor L. Chandler
Supervisor, District 9
Lost
40%
Michael Lai
Supervisor, District 11
Lost
49%
Other Local Offices
Board of Education
Jaime Huling
Elected
Parag Gupta
Elected
Supryia Ray
Elected
John Jersin
Lost
Fiscally responsible, pro-math leaders now hold a majority on the Board of Education. With 5 out of 7 seats held be people who will prioritize student excellence and financial stability, the future of SF public schools is bright.
Community College Board
Heather McCarty
Elected
Aliya Chisti
Elected
Luis Zamora
Elected
Ruth Ferguson
Lost
We needed to win all four seats to get a commonsense majority on the City College Board of Trustees, so we fell short by one seat. But we feel optimistic that having a much closer balance of power will lead to better outcomes for students.
David Chiu
City Attorney
Elected
Brooke Jenkins
District Attorney
Elected
Paul Miyamoto
Sheriff
Elected
José Cisneros
Treasurer
Elected
Victor Flores
BART Board, District 7
Elected
Joe Sangirardi
BART Board, District 9
Lost