The Facts

San Francisco had received 57,757 ballots as of October 22, or 10.8% of registered voters, according to GrowSF’s turnout tracker. With 12 days until the November 3 election, returns were almost identical to November 2022’s 10.7% at the same point. Continuing at that pace would mean roughly 63% final turnout, or about 340,000 ballots, but that estimate rests on just one comparable midterm election.

The Context

The last midterm is a more useful comparison than a presidential election. San Francisco’s final turnout reached 62.3% in 2022, compared with 78.9% in 2024. Early returns alone cannot tell us which candidates or measures will win.

The GrowSF Take

San Francisco’s future belongs to the people who vote. If you want more homes, safer streets, better schools, and competent government, use and share the GrowSF Voter Guide.